Health statistics and information systems

Projections of mortality and causes of death,
2016 to 2060

Revised global and regional projections of mortality by cause for years 2016-2060 are provided below. Previous projections from 2015 to 2030 (see links to right) have been updated using the most recent estimates of deaths by cause for year 2016 as a starting-point, together with updated projection covariates and projections for specific causes. For further information on these estimates and on data sources and methods, refer to the summary data and methods notes, and to the published paper here.

MORTALITY 2016-2060 - BASELINE SCENARIO